Check the water temperature

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What the water temperature means

WaterWhat it means
77°F (25°C) and warmerWarm water. The NCCWS puts pool water at 77-82°F (25-28°C); below 77°F the cold starts to affect breathing. Warm water can still be dangerous: wear a life jacket on boats and watch swimmers closely.
70 to 76°F (21 to 24°C)Cool: breathing can be affected. The NCCWS says that below 77°F (25°C) breathing is affected, and the National Weather Service says gasping can start in water as warm as 77°F.
60 to 69°F (15.5 to 20.5°C)Cold water: treat it with caution. The NCCWS says to treat any water below 70°F (21°C) with caution and to wear thermal protection, such as a wetsuit or drysuit, below that level.
50 to 59°F (10 to 15°C)Strongest cold shock range. The NCCWS calls 50-60°F (10-15.5°C) the maximum-intensity cold shock range: a complete loss of breathing control and swimming failure. Below 60°F an average person can hold their breath only about one-third as long as in warmer water.
Below 50°F (10°C)Very cold water. The National Weather Service says cold shock can be just as severe in 50-60°F water as in 35°F water. In near-freezing water, the NCCWS notes, a person can lose the use of their arms and legs within 2 to 10 minutes.

The 1-10-1, with the caution

1 minute: Cold shock

A sudden, deep gasp, then very fast breathing. Keep your airway clear and get your breathing under control. A life jacket is critically important now.

The caution: The NCCWS says cold shock can kill within seconds to two minutes, and that many people cannot control their breathing for much longer than one minute.

10 minutes: Cold incapacitation

Fingers, arms and legs stop working well enough for meaningful movement. Try to get out early. If you can’t, keep your airway clear while you wait for rescue.

The caution: Strength fades steadily, not all at once at 10 minutes. In near-freezing water it can be gone within 2 to 10 minutes. Swimming even 6 to 10 feet while gasping is often impossible, even for good swimmers.

1 hour: Hypothermia

Even in ice water it may take about an hour to pass out from hypothermia.

The caution: The NCCWS calls the 1-10-1 a myth: the times are not promises, and the danger comes much sooner than an hour. Minnesota records show only 5 of 269 ice-related deaths since 1976 were from hypothermia; most people drowned.

Five rules from the National Center for Cold Water Safety

  1. Wear your life jacket (PFD).
  2. Dress for the water temperature (not the air temperature).
  3. Field test your gear.
  4. Swim test your gear.
  5. Plan for the worst that can happen.

Why cold water is so dangerous

Cold water hits in stages, and the first one is the most deadly. When cold water covers your skin, you gasp and start breathing fast. This "cold shock" lasts for the first 2 to 3 minutes or more (opens in a new tab), and if your head is underwater when you gasp, you inhale water. The National Weather Service says gasping can start in water as warm as 77°F, and cold shock can be just as severe in 50 to 60°F water as in 35°F water.

Cold water is not only a winter problem. The National Center for Cold Water Safety (opens in a new tab) (NCCWS) says to treat any water below 70°F (21°C) with caution and to wear thermal protection below that level. It calls 50 to 60°F the range of maximum-intensity cold shock, with a complete loss of breathing control and swimming failure. In water below 60°F, an average person can hold their breath only about one-third as long (opens in a new tab) as in warmer water, and swimming even 6 to 10 feet while hyperventilating is often impossible, even for good swimmers.

The 1-10-1, and its limits

The 1-10-1 is a memory aid taught by the Canadian Safe Boating Council (opens in a new tab): about 1 minute of cold shock, about 10 minutes of meaningful movement before your arms and legs stop working, and possibly about 1 hour before losing consciousness from hypothermia.

The NCCWS warns that the 1-10-1 is misleading enough to be called a myth (opens in a new tab). People hear "you have 10 minutes," but strength fades steadily, not on a schedule. Physiologist Gordon Giesbrecht, who introduced the 1-10-1 in 2004, later wrote that in near-freezing water a person can be incapacitated within 2 to 10 minutes. Use the 1-10-1 only as a rough picture of the stages, never as a promise of time.

The real lesson is to be ready before you fall in. The NCCWS sums it up in five golden rules (opens in a new tab): wear your life jacket, dress for the water temperature, field test your gear, swim test your gear, and plan for the worst that can happen.

If you do fall in

The Canadian Safe Boating Council says to keep your airway clear and get your breathing under control first. If you can't get out, the National Weather Service says the H.E.L.P. position (knees to chin, arms pressed to your sides, head out of the water) slows heat loss. After a cold-water rescue, the NWS says to call 911, move the person somewhere warm, watch their breathing, give CPR if needed, and rewarm slowly, core first. Most deaths after falling through ice are drowning, not hypothermia: in Minnesota, only 5 of 269 ice-related deaths since 1976 (opens in a new tab) were from hypothermia.

How this tool works

Enter a water temperature in °F or °C from a beach or lake report, a marine forecast or a thermometer. The tool tells you which NCCWS range it falls in and what that means. Then step through the 1, 10 and 1 stages to see how each is taught, alongside the NCCWS caution. Nothing you enter leaves this device.

For more, read cold water shock and the 1-10-1 rule, what to do if you fall into cold water and cold-water paddling.

What you can do today

  1. Check the water temperature, not just the air, before your next paddle, swim or boat trip.
  2. Put your life jacket on before you leave the shore and keep it on.
  3. Swim test your gear: in shallow water with a friend, see how your clothes and life jacket feel when wet.

Printables, infographics and games

Printable

Cold Water Safety

A poster on cold water shock: why water below 70°F needs caution, what to wear, what to do if you fall in, and how to help someone from shore.

Infographic

Cold water: the 1-10-1 guide

A rough guide only. Wear a life jacket and dress for the water.

More tools: beaches, lakes, boats and cold water

Sources

  1. Cold Water Hazards and Safety (opens in a new tab) National Weather Service
  2. What Is Cold Water? (opens in a new tab) National Center for Cold Water Safety
  3. Cold Shock (opens in a new tab) National Center for Cold Water Safety
  4. 1-10-1 Principle (opens in a new tab) Canadian Safe Boating Council
  5. The 1-10-1 Myth (opens in a new tab) National Center for Cold Water Safety
  6. Golden Rules (opens in a new tab) National Center for Cold Water Safety
  7. Ice Fatality Statistics (opens in a new tab) Minnesota Department of Natural Resources

Updated